PAXG 12H: a rule-based Gold (PAXG) strategy on the 12-hour chart

    Long only. One decision per 12 hours, at 00:00 and 12:00 UTC. Either long Gold (PAXG) or in cash.

    How it works

    The strategy is a fixed, written trend-following rule evaluated once per bar on the closing price. When the rule says in, the strategy is long Gold (PAXG); when it says out, it is in cash (USDT). It never shorts.

    Every signal is produced by the same code, so the backtest and the daily signal come from one source.

    See how to read a strategy card

    Backtest by window

    Drawdown is the hardest reading we have for each window. Windows are chosen by market regime, not by result.
    WindowCAGRMax drawdownMARSharpeTradesWin rateBuy & hold
    CAGRMax drawdown
    Full history2023-01-01 → 2026-11-0424.5%15.4%1.591.45875%23.3%29.9%
    Since 20232023-01-01 → 2026-11-0424.5%15.4%1.591.45875%23.3%29.9%
    2 years2024-11-04 → 2026-11-0431.5%15.4%2.041.48560%21.5%29.9%
    1 year2025-11-04 → 2026-11-0429.4%15.4%1.911.351100%1.8%29.9%
    6 months2026-05-04 → 2026-11-049.9%7.2%1.380.891100%-20.4%18.1%

    Versus holding Gold (PAXG)

    Since 2023 · 2023-01-01 → 2026-11-04

    Strategy

    CAGR
    24.5%
    Max drawdown
    15.4%
    MAR
    1.59

    Buy & hold

    CAGR
    23.3%
    Max drawdown
    29.9%
    MAR
    0.78

    The point of the rule is the drawdown column, not the return column.

    Follow it

    PAXG 12H is in the Intermediate plan (USD 29/month).

    See plansStart the 7-day free trial

    The live position and the full card are on the Catalog. · All strategies · Simulate $1,000 in this strategy →