ETH 1D: a rule-based Ethereum strategy on the daily chart

Long only. One decision per day, at the 00:00 UTC close. Either long Ethereum or in cash.

How it works

The strategy is a fixed, written trend-following rule evaluated once per bar on the closing price. When the rule says in, the strategy is long Ethereum; when it says out, it is in cash (USDT). It never shorts.

Every signal is produced by the same code, so the backtest and the daily signal come from one source.

See how to read a strategy card

Backtest by window

Drawdown is the hardest reading we have for each window. Windows are chosen by market regime, not by result.
Window	CAGR	Max drawdown	MAR	Sharpe	Trades	Win rate	Buy & hold
Window	CAGR	Max drawdown	MAR	Sharpe	Trades	Win rate	CAGR	Max drawdown
Full history2018-01-01 → 2026-11-04	59.8%	28.8%	2.08	1.38	33	57.6%	14.1%	94%
Since 20222022-01-01 → 2026-11-04	64.5%	20.8%	3.1	1.58	17	70.6%	-8.7%	74%
Since 20232023-01-01 → 2026-11-04	80.3%	14.1%	5.7	1.88	15	73.3%	20.1%	67.6%
2 years2024-11-04 → 2026-11-04	85.6%	13.1%	6.54	1.95	7	71.4%	0.5%	67.6%
1 year2025-11-04 → 2026-11-04	39.3%	8.6%	4.58	1.25	3	66.7%	-26.3%	56.2%
6 months2026-05-04 → 2026-11-04	107%	7.3%	14.7	2.07	1	100%	6.7%	33.9%

Versus holding Ethereum

Since 2023 · 2023-01-01 → 2026-11-04

Strategy

CAGR: 80.3%
Max drawdown: 14.1%
MAR: 5.7

Buy & hold

CAGR: 20.1%
Max drawdown: 67.6%
MAR: 0.3

The point of the rule is the drawdown column, not the return column.

Follow it

ETH 1D is in the Intermediate plan (USD 29/month).

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The live position and the full card are on the Catalog. · All strategies · Simulate $1,000 in this strategy →